Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Comfortable capitalisation
Capitalisation metrics remain comfortable, supported by the large initial capital infusion. The company has, since 2018, raised a total equity capital of ~Rs 900 crore, from investors such as Newquest Asia Investments, Clearsky Investment holdings (ADV Partners), Samena Capital and DBZ Cyprus (PAG), most of which was raised upfront, before the commencement of operations in 2019.
As on December 31, 2022, tangible net worth of the company stood at Rs 922 crore with an adjusted gearing of 3.5 times as against Rs 935 crore and 2.2 times, respectively, as on March 31, 2022. The company is expected to follow an asset light model over time with a significant proportion of the AUM being off-balance sheet in the form of co-lending or direct assignment transactions, which should reduce the capital requirement for the business. Co-lending as a proportion of AUM has increased to 28% as on December 31, 2022 from 8% as on March 31, 2022. Further, the company is expected to raise ~Rs 350-400 crore of capital in the near term, which should support the capitalisation for the planned growth.
While gearing is expected to increase from current levels, on-balance sheet gearing is expected to remain below 4.5 times on a steady-state basis.
Diversified product offerings across the MSME segment with presence across multiple geographies
The company started its operations in January 2019 with secured and unsecured business loans for the MSME segment and has over time, diversified into other product offerings catering to the overall MSME ecosystem such as supply chain financing and machinery loans.
The company operates through three sourcing channels i.e. branch led for secured and unsecured loans (66% of AUM as on December 31, 2022), ecosystem led for supply chain financing and machinery financing (20%) and partnership and alliance which is for business loans backed by third party guarantee (14%). The company offers financing solutions to MSME borrowers to cater to their various needs. Additionally, it has independent verticals and product teams to manage the different product lines. The company had, as on December 31, 2022, presence across ~32 states with 98 branches.
The company has also partnered with new age technology companies for the sourcing of loans via a co-lending model, wherein it does not have a physical presence. For machinery loans, the company has built partnerships with 40+ original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and for supply chain finance, it has built relationships with 75+ anchors as on December 31, 2022. UGRO has also customised its product offerings to meet the demands of its borrower segments and has built in a high degree of digitisation into its business processes.
Weakness:
Modest, albeit improving earnings profile with operating costs remaining high
The earnings profile of UGRO, while improving, is constrained by high operating costs. This is due to upfronted operating expenditure for branch infrastructure, human capital and technology infrastructure build-up. Consequently, operating expenses as a percentage of average managed assets remained high at 5.2% for the first nine months of fiscal 2023 as against 4.9% and 5.2% for fiscals 2022 and 2021, respectively.
Nevertheless, pre provisioning operating profit improved year-on-year, to Rs 91 crore (2.7% of average managed assets) for the first nine months of fiscal 2023 from Rs 50 crore (2.0%) and Rs 32 crore (2.1%) in fiscals 2022 and 2021, respectively, supported by high net interest margin and AUM growth.
Net profit although increasing, has been volatile since inception due to deferred tax adjustments. The profitability of the company till fiscal 2021 included benefit derived from deferred tax created on the brought forward business losses of Asia Pragati. From fiscal 2022, the company did not benefit from such tax write-backs and therefore there was a dip in profitability from the levels of fiscal 2021.
The company has written off deferred tax assets of Rs 11.4 crore in the first nine months of fiscal 2023, as these have lapsed. Nevertheless, UGRO’s ROMA improved to 0.8% for the first nine months of fiscal 2023 from 0.6% for fiscal 2022 (1.9% for fiscal 2022). Excluding the impact of these deferred tax write offs, ROMA would be 1.1% for the first nine months of fiscal 2023.
Credit costs have been remained range bound at 1.2-1.3% between fiscal 2021 and the first nine months of fiscal 2023.
Going forward, with the scale-up in operations, operating efficiencies are expected to kick in and further improve pre-provisioning operating profits.
Limited track-record of operations
UGRO commenced its lending operations in January 2019. The company’s AUM grew substantially to Rs 5095 crore as on December 31, 2022, from Rs 2969 crore and Rs 1317 crore as on March 31, 2022, and March 31, 2021, respectively. Given the rapid scale-up in loan book in recent years and the limited track record, portfolio seasoning remains critical, with ~40% of AUM being disbursed in the past nine months.
UGRO’s gross stage III assets stood at Rs ~85.8 crore (2.5% of gross advances) as on December 31, 2022, as against Rs 56.4 crore (2.3%) as on March 31, 2022, and Rs 36.5 crore (2.8%) as on March 31, 2021. One year lagged gross stage III was 3.7% as on December 31, 2022. Although marginally increased, the asset quality metrics remain moderate.
The company has restructured assets of Rs 102 crore (2.9% of gross advances), of which Rs 31.6 crore (1%) are classified as gross stage III assets; the performance of this portfolio will be a key monitorable.
The company has made significant investments in systems and processes for underwriting and risk management practices with a strong focus on technology enabled solutions. Additionally, the company has a well-diversified portfolio (with no state contributing more than 16% of the portfolio) and presence across multiple MSME segments.
The ability of the company to manage collections and overall asset quality metrics as the portfolio scales up will remain a key monitorable.